Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Marina Rodriguez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 30, 2019·Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Style matchupMarina Rodriguez: Well-roundedvsJessica Aguilar: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Marina Rodriguez wins(58.2%)
Actual result: Marina Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marina Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Marina Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Jessica Aguilar
Blue Corner
-350
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
39
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'3"
165.1 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marina RodriguezL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Virna Jandiroba · May 23W
KOvs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Sep 23L
vs Jessica Andrade · Apr 24L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Oct 24L
KOvs Gillian Robertson · May 25Jessica Aguilar
oldest →latest
L
vs Claudia Gadelha · Aug 15L
vs Cortney Casey · May 17W
vs Jodie Esquibel · Jul 18L
SUBvs Weili Zhang · Nov 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marina RodriguezMetricJessica Aguilar
4.51
Strikes / min
4.93
3.01
Strikes absorbed / min
7.19
55%
Strike defense
53%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
0.94
61%
Takedown defense
50%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.50Δ 3.76 — meaningful gap-2.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marina RodriguezJessica Aguilar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marina Rodriguez(10 fights)Jessica Aguilar(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.7-29.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+46.5-46.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.8-49.8
Marina Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights13
Jessica Aguilar
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights5