Women's Flyweight
5 Rounds
Marina Rodriguez won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, May 8, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Marina Rodriguez wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Marina Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marina Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Marina Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Michelle Waterson
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
39
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'3"
165.1 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marina RodriguezL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Virna Jandiroba · May 23W
KOvs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Sep 23L
vs Jessica Andrade · Apr 24L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Oct 24L
KOvs Gillian Robertson · May 25Michelle Waterson
oldest →latest
W
vs Felice Herrig · Oct 18W
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Mar 19L
vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Oct 19L
vs Carla Esparza · May 20W
vs Angela Hill · Sep 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marina RodriguezMetricMichelle Waterson
4.51
Strikes / min
—
3.01
Strikes absorbed / min
—
55%
Strike defense
—
0.27
TDs / 15 min
—
61%
Takedown defense
—
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marina RodriguezMichelle Waterson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marina Rodriguez(10 fights)Michelle Waterson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.50.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-133.0133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Marina Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights13
Michelle Waterson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights3