Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Marina Rodriguez won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 23, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMarina Rodriguez: Well-roundedvsMichelle Waterson-Gomez: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Marina Rodriguez wins(58.2%)
Actual result: Marina Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marina Rodriguez enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Michelle Waterson-Gomez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Marina Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Blue Corner
-360
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
39
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'3"
165.1 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marina RodriguezL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Amanda Lemos · Nov 22L
vs Virna Jandiroba · May 23L
vs Jessica Andrade · Apr 24L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Oct 24L
KOvs Gillian Robertson · May 25Michelle Waterson-GomezL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 22L
vs Luana Pinheiro · Apr 23L
vs Gillian Robertson · Jun 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marina RodriguezMetricMichelle Waterson-Gomez
4.51
Strikes / min
3.42
3.01
Strikes absorbed / min
4.25
55%
Strike defense
48%
0.27
TDs / 15 min
1.39
61%
Takedown defense
69%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.50Δ 2.33 — meaningful gap-0.83
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marina RodriguezMichelle Waterson-Gomez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marina Rodriguez(10 fights)Michelle Waterson-Gomez(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+74.2-74.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Marina Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights13
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights4