Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Mario Bautista won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 5, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMario Bautista: Pressure fightervsBenito Lopez: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Mario Bautista wins(68.7%)
Actual result: Mario Bautista wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Benito Lopez has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Benito Lopez has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mario Bautista
Red Corner
VS
Benito Lopez
Blue Corner
-365
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
32
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
5'10"
175.26 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mario Bautista
oldest →latest
W
vs Ricky Simon · Jan 24W
vs Jose Aldo · Oct 24W
vs Patchy Mix · Jun 25L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Oct 25W
SUBvs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 26Benito Lopez
oldest →latest
W
vs Albert Morales · Dec 17L
SUBvs Manny Bermudez · Feb 19W
vs Vince Morales · Jul 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mario BautistaMetricBenito Lopez
5.30
Strikes / min
4.39
3.98
Strikes absorbed / min
5.18
54%
Strike defense
56%
1.91
TDs / 15 min
0.00
55%
Takedown defense
73%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.32Δ 2.11 — meaningful gap-0.79
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mario BautistaBenito Lopez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mario Bautista(10 fights)Benito Lopez(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-1078.01078.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Mario Bautista
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Benito Lopez
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4