Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Mario Bautista won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 19, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMario Bautista: Pressure fightervsJay Perrin: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Jay Perrin wins(54.3%)
Actual result: Mario Bautista wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mario Bautista has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Mario Bautista
Red Corner
VS
Jay Perrin
Blue Corner
-350
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+270
(27%)
32
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mario Bautista
oldest →latest
W
vs Ricky Simon · Jan 24W
vs Jose Aldo · Oct 24W
vs Patchy Mix · Jun 25L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Oct 25W
SUBvs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 26Jay PerrinL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Aoriqileng · Aug 22L
SUBvs Raul Rosas Jr. · Dec 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mario BautistaMetricJay Perrin
5.30
Strikes / min
3.71
3.98
Strikes absorbed / min
3.90
54%
Strike defense
44%
1.91
TDs / 15 min
2.83
55%
Takedown defense
58%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.32Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap-0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mario BautistaJay Perrin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mario Bautista(10 fights)Jay Perrin(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.1-2.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Mario Bautista
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Jay Perrin
StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3