Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Mario Bautista won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 20, 2019·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupMario Bautista: Pressure fightervsJin Soo Son: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Mario Bautista wins(73.1%)
Actual result: Mario Bautista wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jin Soo Son has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mario Bautista (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Mario Bautista
Red Corner
VS
Jin Soo Son
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
32
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mario Bautista
oldest →latest
W
vs Ricky Simon · Jan 24W
vs Jose Aldo · Oct 24W
vs Patchy Mix · Jun 25L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Oct 25W
SUBvs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 26Jin Soo Son
oldest →latest
L
vs Petr Yan · Sep 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mario BautistaMetricJin Soo Son
5.30
Strikes / min
5.10
3.98
Strikes absorbed / min
7.63
54%
Strike defense
52%
1.91
TDs / 15 min
1.50
55%
Takedown defense
100%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.32Δ 3.85 — meaningful gap-2.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mario BautistaJin Soo Son
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mario Bautista(10 fights)Jin Soo Son(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-126.0126.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Mario Bautista
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14
Jin Soo Son
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights2