Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mario Pinto won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 21, 2026·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupMario Pinto: WrestlervsFelipe Franco: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Mario Pinto wins(71.9%)
Actual result: Mario Pinto wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mario Pinto has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Mario Pinto
Red Corner
VS
Felipe Franco
Blue Corner
-900
(90%)
Vegas Odds
+570
(15%)
28
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'5"
Height
6'1"
200.66 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mario PintoW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Austen Lane · Mar 25W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Oct 25Felipe FrancoNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mario PintoMetricFelipe Franco
2.85
Strikes / min
1.81
1.93
Strikes absorbed / min
2.55
58%
Strike defense
38%
2.38
TDs / 15 min
3.02
100%
Takedown defense
87%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.92Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-0.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mario PintoFelipe Franco
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mario Pinto(3 fights)Felipe Franco(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.1-27.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Mario Pinto
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights3
Felipe Franco
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights1