Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Ashlee Evans-Smith won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, February 21, 2016·Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Marion Reneau wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Ashlee Evans-Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Marion Reneau threatens submissions; Ashlee Evans-Smith has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Marion Reneau
Red Corner
VS
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
48
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marion ReneauL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Cat Zingano · Jul 18L
vs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 19L
vs Raquel Pennington · Jun 20L
vs Macy Chiasson · Mar 21L
KOvs Miesha Tate · Jul 21Ashlee Evans-SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Sarah Moras · Sep 17W
vs Bec Rawlings · Apr 18L
vs Andrea Lee · Feb 19L
vs Norma Dumont · Nov 20L
vs Ailin Perez · Jul 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marion ReneauMetricAshlee Evans-Smith
3.20
Strikes / min
4.03
3.52
Strikes absorbed / min
4.59
59%
Strike defense
53%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
0.95
50%
Takedown defense
50%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.32evenly matched on net striking-0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marion ReneauAshlee Evans-Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marion Reneau(10 fights)Ashlee Evans-Smith(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.3-31.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-221.0221.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.8-2.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Marion Reneau
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12
Ashlee Evans-Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights9