Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Macy Chiasson won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, March 20, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Marion Reneau wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Macy Chiasson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marion Reneau enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Marion Reneau has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Macy Chiasson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Marion Reneau
Red Corner
VS
Macy Chiasson
Blue Corner
+185
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-225
(69%)
48
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'11"
172.72 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marion ReneauL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Feb 18L
vs Cat Zingano · Jul 18L
vs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 19L
vs Raquel Pennington · Jun 20L
KOvs Miesha Tate · Jul 21Macy ChiassonL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Pannie Kianzad · Mar 24W
KOvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jun 24L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 25L
vs Yana Santos · Oct 25L
vs Ailin Perez · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marion ReneauMetricMacy Chiasson
3.20
Strikes / min
3.21
3.52
Strikes absorbed / min
2.76
59%
Strike defense
44%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
1.87
50%
Takedown defense
62%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.32evenly matched on net striking+0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marion ReneauMacy Chiasson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marion Reneau(10 fights)Macy Chiasson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-47.047.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-126.0126.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Marion Reneau
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12
Macy Chiasson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14