Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Gillian Robertson won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 17, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMariya Agapova: Pressure fightervsGillian Robertson: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Mariya Agapova wins(58.2%)
Actual result: Gillian Robertson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gillian Robertson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Gillian Robertson threatens submissions; Mariya Agapova has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mariya Agapova (53.5%).
- Mariya Agapova has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mariya Agapova
Red Corner
VS
Gillian Robertson
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
29
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
172.72 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mariya AgapovaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Hannah Cifers · Jun 20L
KOvs Shana Dobson · Aug 20W
SUBvs Sabina Mazo · Oct 21L
SUBvs Maryna Moroz · Mar 22L
SUBvs Luana Santos · Jul 24Gillian RobertsonW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Polyana Viana · Jan 24W
vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Jun 24W
vs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 24W
KOvs Marina Rodriguez · May 25W
vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mariya AgapovaMetricGillian Robertson
4.43
Strikes / min
2.71
3.62
Strikes absorbed / min
2.86
52%
Strike defense
56%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
2.76
45%
Takedown defense
38%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.81evenly matched on net striking-0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mariya AgapovaGillian Robertson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mariya Agapova(6 fights)Gillian Robertson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.019.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Mariya Agapova
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6
Gillian Robertson
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights20