Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Mariya Agapova won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 13, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMariya Agapova: Pressure fightervsHannah Cifers: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Mariya Agapova wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Mariya Agapova wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mariya Agapova enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Hannah Cifers enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mariya Agapova threatens submissions; Hannah Cifers has lost 60% of fights by sub.
- Hannah Cifers has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mariya Agapova (53.5%).
- Mariya Agapova has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mariya Agapova
Red Corner
VS
Hannah Cifers
Blue Corner
-335
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+305
(25%)
29
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'1"
172.72 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mariya AgapovaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Shana Dobson · Aug 20W
SUBvs Sabina Mazo · Oct 21L
SUBvs Maryna Moroz · Mar 22L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Sep 22L
SUBvs Luana Santos · Jul 24Hannah CifersL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Polyana Viana · Mar 19W
vs Jodie Esquibel · Aug 19L
KOvs Angela Hill · Jan 20L
SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · May 20L
SUBvs Mallory Martin · Aug 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mariya AgapovaMetricHannah Cifers
4.43
Strikes / min
4.99
3.62
Strikes absorbed / min
5.39
52%
Strike defense
52%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
0.26
45%
Takedown defense
64%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.81Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mariya AgapovaHannah Cifers
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mariya Agapova(6 fights)Hannah Cifers(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.4-18.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.2-49.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
Mariya Agapova
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6
Hannah Cifers
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights7