Lightweight
3 Rounds
Rafael Dos Anjos won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 17, 2012·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Mark Bocek wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Rafael Dos Anjos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark Bocek enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rafael Dos Anjos has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Dos Anjos (53.5%).
- Mark Bocek has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mark Bocek
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Dos Anjos
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-210
(68%)
44
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'8"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark BocekW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Dustin Hazelett · Dec 10L
vs Benson Henderson · Apr 11W
vs Nik Lentz · Dec 11W
vs John Alessio · Apr 12W
vs Mike de la Torre · Apr 14Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark BocekMetricRafael Dos Anjos
2.34
Strikes / min
3.48
2.32
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
60%
Strike defense
60%
3.65
TDs / 15 min
1.95
31%
Takedown defense
54%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.02evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mark BocekRafael Dos Anjos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Bocek(7 fights)Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.313.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+81.0-81.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Mark Bocek
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights7
Rafael Dos Anjos
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights32