Flyweight
3 Rounds
Raulian Paiva won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 15, 2020·Rio Rancho, New Mexico, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Mark De La Rosa wins(52.3%)
Actual result: Raulian Paiva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark De La Rosa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Raulian Paiva has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Raulian Paiva has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mark De La Rosa
Red Corner
VS
Raulian Paiva
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
31
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
165.1 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark De La RosaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Elias Garcia · Jul 18W
vs Joby Sanchez · Nov 18L
vs Alex Perez · Mar 19L
vs Kai Kara-France · Aug 19L
vs Jordan Espinosa · Jun 20Raulian PaivaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rogerio Bontorin · Aug 19W
vs Zhalgas Zhamagulov · Jul 20W
vs Kyler Phillips · Jul 21L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Dec 21L
vs Sergey Morozov · Jun 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark De La RosaMetricRaulian Paiva
3.13
Strikes / min
4.14
5.00
Strikes absorbed / min
5.01
48%
Strike defense
48%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
0.65
40%
Takedown defense
77%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.87evenly matched on net striking-0.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mark De La RosaRaulian Paiva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark De La Rosa(7 fights)Raulian Paiva(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.1-14.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Mark De La Rosa
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7
Raulian Paiva
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights7