Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mark Godbeer won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 4, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Mark Godbeer wins(58.9%)
Actual result: Mark Godbeer wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark Godbeer has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Daniel Spitz has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mark Godbeer
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Spitz
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
42
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'7"
195.58 cm
Reach
208.28 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark Godbeer
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Justin Ledet · Nov 16W
vs Walt Harris · Nov 17L
SUBvs Dmitry Sosnovskiy · Mar 18Daniel SpitzL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Anthony Hamilton · Sep 17L
KOvs Walt Harris · Jun 18L
vs Tanner Boser · Oct 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark GodbeerMetricDaniel Spitz
3.97
Strikes / min
2.60
3.30
Strikes absorbed / min
5.30
54%
Strike defense
46%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.74
28%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67Δ 3.37 — meaningful gap-2.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mark GodbeerDaniel Spitz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Godbeer(4 fights)Daniel Spitz(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.013.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Mark Godbeer
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4
Daniel Spitz
StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights4