Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Dmitry Sosnovskiy won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 17, 2018·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupMark Godbeer: StrikervsDmitry Sosnovskiy: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Dmitry Sosnovskiy wins(51.3%)
Actual result: Dmitry Sosnovskiy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dmitry Sosnovskiy threatens submissions; Mark Godbeer has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Mark Godbeer has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Dmitry Sosnovskiy has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Mark Godbeer
Red Corner
VS
Dmitry Sosnovskiy
Blue Corner
+220
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-260
(72%)
42
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark GodbeerW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Justin Ledet · Nov 16W
vs Daniel Spitz · Mar 17W
vs Walt Harris · Nov 17Dmitry SosnovskiyNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark GodbeerMetricDmitry Sosnovskiy
3.97
Strikes / min
2.95
3.30
Strikes absorbed / min
2.53
54%
Strike defense
35%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
3.16
28%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
3.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.67evenly matched on net striking+0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mark GodbeerDmitry Sosnovskiy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Godbeer(4 fights)Dmitry Sosnovskiy(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.8-13.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.748.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Mark Godbeer
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4
Dmitry Sosnovskiy
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights1