Featherweight
3 Rounds
Pablo Garza won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 17, 2012·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Style matchupMark Hominick: Pressure fightervsPablo Garza: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Mark Hominick wins(73.0%)
Actual result: Pablo Garza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark Hominick enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Pablo Garza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mark Hominick has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mark Hominick has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Pablo Garza has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mark Hominick
Red Corner
VS
Pablo Garza
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+255
(28%)
43
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'1"
172.72 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark HominickL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs George Roop · Jan 11L
vs Jose Aldo · Apr 11L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Dec 11L
vs Eddie Yagin · Apr 12Pablo GarzaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Fredson Paixao · Dec 10W
SUBvs Yves Jabouin · Apr 11L
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Nov 11L
vs Dennis Bermudez · May 12L
SUBvs Diego Brandao · Apr 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark HominickMetricPablo Garza
4.08
Strikes / min
3.37
4.18
Strikes absorbed / min
2.70
69%
Strike defense
50%
0.25
TDs / 15 min
0.94
71%
Takedown defense
15%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mark HominickPablo Garza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Hominick(5 fights)Pablo Garza(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-29.829.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Mark Hominick
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5
Pablo Garza
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6