Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Mark Hunt won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 20, 2014·Saitama, Japan, Japan
Model Prediction: Mark Hunt wins(60.0%)
Actual result: Mark Hunt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Roy Nelson is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Mark Hunt has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Mark Hunt
Red Corner
VS
Roy Nelson
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
52
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark HuntL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · Mar 17W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 17L
vs Curtis Blaydes · Feb 18L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Sep 18L
vs Justin Willis · Dec 18Roy Nelson
oldest →latest
L
vs Josh Barnett · Sep 15W
vs Jared Rosholt · Feb 16L
vs Derrick Lewis · Jul 16W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Sep 16L
vs Alexander Volkov · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark HuntMetricRoy Nelson
2.81
Strikes / min
2.18
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
4.79
51%
Strike defense
46%
0.51
TDs / 15 min
1.14
64%
Takedown defense
65%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.09Δ 2.52 — meaningful gap-2.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mark HuntRoy Nelson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Hunt(10 fights)Roy Nelson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.7-13.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+321.0-321.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Mark Hunt
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16
Roy Nelson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights18