Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mark Madsen won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 7, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMark Madsen: WrestlervsAustin Hubbard: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Mark Madsen wins(71.9%)
Actual result: Mark Madsen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Mark Madsen
Red Corner
VS
Austin Hubbard
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
41
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark MadsenL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Danilo Belluardo · Sep 19W
vs Clay Guida · Aug 21W
vs Vinc Pichel · Apr 22L
SUBvs Grant Dawson · Nov 22L
KOvs Jared Gordon · Nov 23Austin HubbardL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · Aug 23W
vs Michal Figlak · Apr 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 24L
vs MarQuel Mederos · Mar 25L
vs Rongzhu · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark MadsenMetricAustin Hubbard
3.56
Strikes / min
3.97
3.97
Strikes absorbed / min
4.10
52%
Strike defense
55%
2.86
TDs / 15 min
1.63
62%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.41evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mark MadsenAustin Hubbard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Madsen(6 fights)Austin Hubbard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.2-15.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
Mark Madsen
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6
Austin Hubbard
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12