Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mark Madsen won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 28, 2019·Copenhagen, Denmark, Denmark
Style matchupMark Madsen: WrestlervsDanilo Belluardo: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Mark Madsen wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Mark Madsen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark Madsen has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Danilo Belluardo (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Mark Madsen
Red Corner
VS
Danilo Belluardo
Blue Corner
-600
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
41
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark MadsenL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Austin Hubbard · Mar 20W
vs Clay Guida · Aug 21W
vs Vinc Pichel · Apr 22L
SUBvs Grant Dawson · Nov 22L
KOvs Jared Gordon · Nov 23Danilo Belluardo
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Joel Alvarez · Jun 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark MadsenMetricDanilo Belluardo
3.56
Strikes / min
1.52
3.97
Strikes absorbed / min
4.79
52%
Strike defense
41%
2.86
TDs / 15 min
3.50
62%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.41Δ 2.86 — meaningful gap-3.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mark MadsenDanilo Belluardo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Madsen(6 fights)Danilo Belluardo(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.4-19.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Mark Madsen
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6
Danilo Belluardo
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights2