Middleweight
5 Rounds
Gegard Mousasi won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 31, 2014·Berlin, Germany, Germany
Style matchupMark Munoz: WrestlervsGegard Mousasi: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Gegard Mousasi wins(53.9%)
Actual result: Gegard Mousasi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gegard Mousasi enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Gegard Mousasi has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Gegard Mousasi has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mark Munoz
Red Corner
VS
Gegard Mousasi
Blue Corner
+235
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-255
(72%)
48
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
180.34 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark Munoz
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chris Weidman · Jul 12W
vs Tim Boetsch · Jul 13L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · Oct 13L
SUBvs Roan Carneiro · Feb 15W
vs Luke Barnatt · May 15Gegard MousasiW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Thales Leites · Feb 16W
KOvs Thiago Santos · Jul 16W
KOvs Vitor Belfort · Oct 16W
KOvs Uriah Hall · Nov 16W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark MunozMetricGegard Mousasi
3.12
Strikes / min
3.75
2.26
Strikes absorbed / min
1.21
57%
Strike defense
68%
3.17
TDs / 15 min
1.59
57%
Takedown defense
59%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.86Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap+2.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mark MunozGegard Mousasi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Munoz(10 fights)Gegard Mousasi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+51.1-51.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+112.0-112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Mark Munoz
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12
Gegard Mousasi
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12