Middleweight
3 Rounds
Mark Munoz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 16, 2015·Manila, Philippines, Philippines
Style matchupMark Munoz: WrestlervsLuke Barnatt: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Mark Munoz wins(56.9%)
Actual result: Mark Munoz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark Munoz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Luke Barnatt has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mark Munoz
Red Corner
VS
Luke Barnatt
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-135
(57%)
48
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark MunozL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chris Weidman · Jul 12W
vs Tim Boetsch · Jul 13L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · Oct 13L
SUBvs Gegard Mousasi · May 14L
SUBvs Roan Carneiro · Feb 15Luke BarnattL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Collin Hart · Apr 13W
SUBvs Andrew Craig · Oct 13W
KOvs Mats Nilsson · Mar 14L
vs Sean Strickland · May 14L
vs Roger Narvaez · Nov 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark MunozMetricLuke Barnatt
3.12
Strikes / min
4.43
2.26
Strikes absorbed / min
3.87
57%
Strike defense
59%
3.17
TDs / 15 min
0.63
57%
Takedown defense
63%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.86evenly matched on net striking+0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mark MunozLuke Barnatt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Munoz(10 fights)Luke Barnatt(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-5.45.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Mark Munoz
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12
Luke Barnatt
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights6