Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark Munoz
oldest →L
KOvs Chris Weidman · Jul 12L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · Oct 13L
SUBvs Gegard Mousasi · May 14L
SUBvs Roan Carneiro · Feb 15W
vs Luke Barnatt · May 15 Tim BoetschL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16L
SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17W
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark MunozMetricTim Boetsch
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.86evenly matched on net striking+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mark MunozTim Boetsch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Munoz(10 fights)Tim Boetsch(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +119.7|Blue -119.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +171.0|Blue -171.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mark MunozTargetTim Boetsch
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns2
Control2:15
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:37Control
Round 2Mark Munoz edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns2
Control3:25
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:33Control
Round 3Mark Munoz edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control3:46
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:49Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
