Bantamweight
5 Rounds
Cory Sandhagen won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, October 10, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Cory Sandhagen wins(51.6%)
Actual result: Cory Sandhagen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Moraes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Cory Sandhagen is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Marlon Moraes has lost 83% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Marlon Moraes
Red Corner
VS
Cory Sandhagen
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-141
(59%)
38
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'11"
170.18 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marlon MoraesL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jun 19W
vs Jose Aldo · Dec 19L
KOvs Rob Font · Dec 20L
KOvs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 21L
KOvs Song Yadong · Mar 22Cory Sandhagen
oldest →latest
W
vs Marlon Vera · Mar 23W
vs Rob Font · Aug 23L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marlon MoraesMetricCory Sandhagen
3.37
Strikes / min
4.86
4.53
Strikes absorbed / min
3.47
54%
Strike defense
56%
0.87
TDs / 15 min
1.15
46%
Takedown defense
56%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.16Δ 2.55 — meaningful gap+1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marlon MoraesCory Sandhagen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marlon Moraes(10 fights)Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.31.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+175.0-175.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Marlon Moraes
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11
Cory Sandhagen
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16