Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Song Yadong won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 12, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Marlon Moraes wins(55.1%)
Actual result: Song Yadong wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Moraes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Song Yadong has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Marlon Moraes
Red Corner
VS
Song Yadong
Blue Corner
+230
(30%)
Vegas Odds
—
38
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marlon MoraesL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jun 19W
vs Jose Aldo · Dec 19L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 20L
KOvs Rob Font · Dec 20L
KOvs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 21Song Yadong
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ricky Simon · Apr 23W
vs Chris Gutierrez · Dec 23L
vs Petr Yan · Mar 24W
vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 25L
vs Sean O'Malley · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marlon MoraesMetricSong Yadong
3.37
Strikes / min
4.42
4.53
Strikes absorbed / min
3.94
54%
Strike defense
55%
0.87
TDs / 15 min
0.78
46%
Takedown defense
73%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.16Δ 1.64 — meaningful gap+0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marlon MoraesSong Yadong
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marlon Moraes(10 fights)Song Yadong(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-67.367.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Marlon Moraes
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11
Song Yadong
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15