Bantamweight
5 Rounds
Cory Sandhagen won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, March 25, 2023·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupMarlon Vera: Pressure fightervsCory Sandhagen: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Marlon Vera wins(56.7%)
Actual result: Cory Sandhagen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marlon Vera has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Marlon Vera
Red Corner
VS
Cory Sandhagen
Blue Corner
+116
(46%)
Vegas Odds
-136
(58%)
33
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Switch
5'8"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marlon VeraL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26Cory Sandhagen
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Song Yadong · Sep 22W
vs Rob Font · Aug 23L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marlon VeraMetricCory Sandhagen
4.18
Strikes / min
4.86
5.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.47
50%
Strike defense
56%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
1.15
71%
Takedown defense
56%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.16Δ 2.55 — meaningful gap+1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marlon VeraCory Sandhagen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marlon Vera(10 fights)Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.2-31.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Marlon Vera
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26
Cory Sandhagen
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16