Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- David Martinez has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- David Martinez has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marlon VeraL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Mar 23W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25 David MartinezW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Saimon Oliveira · Mar 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marlon VeraMetricDavid Martinez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.16Δ 3.08 — meaningful gap+1.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marlon VeraDavid Martinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marlon Vera(10 fights)David Martinez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -67.3|Blue +67.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marlon VeraTargetDavid Martinez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1David Martinez edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:45Control
Round 2David Martinez edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:45Control
Round 3David Martinez edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:04
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
