Bantamweight
3 Rounds
David Martinez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 28, 2026·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Style matchupMarlon Vera: Pressure fightervsDavid Martinez: Elusive striker
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: David Martinez wins(50.8%)
Actual result: David Martinez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- David Martinez has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- David Martinez has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Marlon Vera
Red Corner
VS
David Martinez
Blue Corner
+265
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-330
(77%)
33
Age
27
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'5"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marlon VeraL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Mar 23W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25David MartinezW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Saimon Oliveira · Mar 25W
vs Rob Font · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marlon VeraMetricDavid Martinez
4.18
Strikes / min
4.82
5.34
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
50%
Strike defense
69%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
0.60
71%
Takedown defense
100%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.16Δ 3.08 — meaningful gap+1.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marlon VeraDavid Martinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marlon Vera(10 fights)David Martinez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.5-35.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.81.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Marlon Vera
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26
David Martinez
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3