Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Marlon Vera won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 23, 2019·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupMarlon Vera: Pressure fightervsFrankie Saenz: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Frankie Saenz wins(51.5%)
Actual result: Marlon Vera wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).
- Marlon Vera has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Marlon Vera
Red Corner
VS
Frankie Saenz
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
33
Age
45
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marlon VeraL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26Frankie Saenz
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jul 16L
vs Augusto Mendes · Jan 17W
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 17W
vs Henry Briones · May 18L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Aug 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marlon VeraMetricFrankie Saenz
4.18
Strikes / min
3.94
5.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.50
50%
Strike defense
52%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
1.74
71%
Takedown defense
61%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.16Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap+0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marlon VeraFrankie Saenz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marlon Vera(10 fights)Frankie Saenz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.9-3.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-182.0182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Marlon Vera
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26
Frankie Saenz
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights10