Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Marlon Vera won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 6, 2019·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Marlon Vera wins(70.8%)
Actual result: Marlon Vera wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marlon Vera has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Marlon Vera
Red Corner
VS
Nohelin Hernandez
Blue Corner
-470
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+375
(21%)
33
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marlon VeraL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26Nohelin Hernandez
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jack Shore · Sep 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marlon VeraMetricNohelin Hernandez
4.18
Strikes / min
1.32
5.34
Strikes absorbed / min
2.63
50%
Strike defense
52%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
0.71
71%
Takedown defense
37%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.16evenly matched on net striking-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marlon VeraNohelin Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marlon Vera(10 fights)Nohelin Hernandez(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+47.8-47.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.148.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Marlon Vera
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26
Nohelin Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2