Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Marlon Vera won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 19, 2023·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupMarlon Vera: Pressure fightervsPedro Munhoz: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Marlon Vera wins(71.5%)
Actual result: Marlon Vera wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).
- Marlon Vera has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Marlon Vera
Red Corner
VS
Pedro Munhoz
Blue Corner
-166
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
33
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marlon VeraL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Mar 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26Pedro MunhozL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jose Aldo · Aug 21L
vs Dominick Cruz · Dec 21W
vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 23L
vs Kyler Phillips · Mar 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marlon VeraMetricPedro Munhoz
4.18
Strikes / min
5.38
5.34
Strikes absorbed / min
6.29
50%
Strike defense
55%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
0.48
71%
Takedown defense
82%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.16evenly matched on net striking-0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marlon VeraPedro Munhoz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marlon Vera(10 fights)Pedro Munhoz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+44.4-44.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Marlon Vera
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26
Pedro Munhoz
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights20