Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Ketlen Souza won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 27, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Marnic Mann wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Ketlen Souza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ketlen Souza has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ketlen Souza has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marnic Mann (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Marnic Mann
Red Corner
VS
Ketlen Souza
Blue Corner
+280
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-355
(78%)
33
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'0"
Height
5'3"
162.56 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marnic Mann
oldest →latest
L
vs Josefine Knutsson · Sep 23Ketlen Souza
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Karine Silva · Jun 23W
SUBvs Yazmin Jauregui · Sep 24L
vs Angela Hill · Feb 25L
vs Piera Rodriguez · Aug 25W
vs Bruna Brasil · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marnic MannMetricKetlen Souza
1.47
Strikes / min
4.01
5.08
Strikes absorbed / min
3.86
31%
Strike defense
52%
1.90
TDs / 15 min
0.46
25%
Takedown defense
53%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.61Δ 3.76 — meaningful gap+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marnic MannKetlen Souza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marnic Mann(2 fights)Ketlen Souza(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.70.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Marnic Mann
StanceSouthpaw
Height60.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights2
Ketlen Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights6