Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Martin Buday won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 29, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMartin Buday: Pressure fightervsJake Collier: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Martin Buday wins(66.6%)
Actual result: Martin Buday wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Martin Buday enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Jake Collier enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Martin Buday has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Martin Buday
Red Corner
VS
Jake Collier
Blue Corner
-144
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+122
(45%)
34
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Martin BudayW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Josh Parisian · Aug 23L
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Dec 23W
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 24W
vs Uran Satybaldiev · Apr 25W
vs Marcus Buchecha · Jul 25Jake CollierL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Carlos Felipe · Jun 21W
SUBvs Chase Sherman · Jan 22L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Apr 22L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Sep 22L
vs Mohammed Usman · Sep 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Martin BudayMetricJake Collier
4.39
Strikes / min
5.80
4.49
Strikes absorbed / min
5.08
55%
Strike defense
50%
0.15
TDs / 15 min
0.71
93%
Takedown defense
67%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Martin BudayJake Collier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Martin Buday(8 fights)Jake Collier(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+52.3-52.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Martin Buday
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights8
Jake Collier
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights14