Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Martin Buday won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 13, 2022·San Diego, California, USA, USA
Style matchupMartin Buday: Pressure fightervsLukasz Brzeski: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Martin Buday wins(67.6%)
Actual result: Martin Buday wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Martin Buday enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Lukasz Brzeski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Martin Buday has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Martin Buday
Red Corner
VS
Lukasz Brzeski
Blue Corner
-305
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+255
(28%)
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Martin BudayW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Josh Parisian · Aug 23L
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Dec 23W
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 24W
vs Uran Satybaldiev · Apr 25W
vs Marcus Buchecha · Jul 25Lukasz BrzeskiL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Aug 23W
vs Valter Walker · Apr 24L
KOvs Mick Parkin · Jul 24L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Dec 24L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Martin BudayMetricLukasz Brzeski
4.39
Strikes / min
4.90
4.49
Strikes absorbed / min
3.65
55%
Strike defense
54%
0.15
TDs / 15 min
0.41
93%
Takedown defense
35%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap+1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Martin BudayLukasz Brzeski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Martin Buday(8 fights)Lukasz Brzeski(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.5-13.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Martin Buday
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights8
Lukasz Brzeski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights7