Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Martin Buday enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Martin Buday has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Martin BudayW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 23W
SUBvs Josh Parisian · Aug 23W
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 24W
vs Uran Satybaldiev · Apr 25W
vs Marcus Buchecha · Jul 25 Shamil GazievL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Mar 24W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Aug 24W
KOvs Thomas Petersen · Feb 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Nov 25L
KOvs Brando Pericic · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Martin BudayMetricShamil Gaziev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.10Δ 1.88 — meaningful gap-1.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Martin BudayShamil Gaziev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Martin Buday(8 fights)Shamil Gaziev(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +43.0|Blue -43.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Martin BudayTargetShamil Gaziev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Shamil Gaziev edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:20
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:08Control
Round 2Shamil Gaziev edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
