Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Shamil Gaziev won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 16, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMartin Buday: Pressure fightervsShamil Gaziev: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Martin Buday wins(66.0%)
Actual result: Shamil Gaziev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Martin Buday enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Martin Buday has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Martin Buday
Red Corner
VS
Shamil Gaziev
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
34
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Martin BudayW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 23W
SUBvs Josh Parisian · Aug 23W
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 24W
vs Uran Satybaldiev · Apr 25W
vs Marcus Buchecha · Jul 25Shamil Gaziev
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Mar 24W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Aug 24W
KOvs Thomas Petersen · Feb 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Martin BudayMetricShamil Gaziev
4.39
Strikes / min
2.94
4.49
Strikes absorbed / min
4.92
55%
Strike defense
45%
0.15
TDs / 15 min
1.06
93%
Takedown defense
83%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10Δ 1.88 — meaningful gap-1.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Martin BudayShamil Gaziev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Martin Buday(8 fights)Shamil Gaziev(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+49.4-49.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Martin Buday
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights8
Shamil Gaziev
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5