Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Martin Buday won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 5, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Martin Buday wins(61.7%)
Actual result: Martin Buday wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Martin Buday has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Martin Buday has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Martin Buday
Red Corner
VS
Uran Satybaldiev
Blue Corner
-168
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+142
(41%)
34
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Martin BudayW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 23W
SUBvs Josh Parisian · Aug 23L
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Dec 23W
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 24W
vs Marcus Buchecha · Jul 25Uran Satybaldiev
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Diyar Nurgozhay · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Martin BudayMetricUran Satybaldiev
4.39
Strikes / min
2.14
4.49
Strikes absorbed / min
3.66
55%
Strike defense
44%
0.15
TDs / 15 min
0.00
93%
Takedown defense
50%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap-1.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Martin BudayUran Satybaldiev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Martin Buday(8 fights)Uran Satybaldiev(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.4-46.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Martin Buday
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights8
Uran Satybaldiev
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights2