Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Anderson Dos Santos won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, November 28, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMartin Day: Well-roundedvsAnderson Dos Santos: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Martin Day wins(78.2%)
Actual result: Anderson Dos Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anderson Dos Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Anderson Dos Santos threatens submissions; Martin Day has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Martin Day
Red Corner
VS
Anderson Dos Santos
Blue Corner
-167
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
37
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'5"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Martin DayL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Liu Pingyuan · Nov 18L
KOvs Davey Grant · Jul 20Anderson Dos SantosL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Nad Narimani · Nov 18L
vs Andre Ewell · Jun 19L
KOvs Miles Johns · Aug 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Martin DayMetricAnderson Dos Santos
3.97
Strikes / min
2.70
3.79
Strikes absorbed / min
5.37
53%
Strike defense
49%
0.72
TDs / 15 min
0.98
65%
Takedown defense
66%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.18Δ 2.85 — meaningful gap-2.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Martin DayAnderson Dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Martin Day(3 fights)Anderson Dos Santos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.70.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-385.0385.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Martin Day
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3
Anderson Dos Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4