Middleweight
3 Rounds
Brendan Allen won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 19, 2025·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Style matchupMarvin Vettori: Pressure fightervsBrendan Allen: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Brendan Allen wins(56.5%)
Actual result: Brendan Allen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marvin Vettori enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marvin Vettori (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Marvin Vettori
Red Corner
VS
Brendan Allen
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-265
(73%)
32
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marvin VettoriL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Robert Whittaker · Sep 22W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 23L
vs Jared Cannonier · Jun 23L
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 25L
vs Brunno Ferreira · Dec 25Brendan Allen
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Paul Craig · Nov 23W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 24L
vs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 25W
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marvin VettoriMetricBrendan Allen
4.74
Strikes / min
3.59
4.55
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
56%
Strike defense
47%
1.41
TDs / 15 min
1.56
68%
Takedown defense
56%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.19evenly matched on net striking-0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marvin VettoriBrendan Allen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marvin Vettori(10 fights)Brendan Allen(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-55.055.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Marvin Vettori
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17
Brendan Allen
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights18