Middleweight
3 Rounds
Marvin Vettori won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 13, 2019·Sacramento, California, USA, USA
Style matchupMarvin Vettori: Pressure fightervsCezar Ferreira: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Marvin Vettori wins(52.5%)
Actual result: Marvin Vettori wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Cezar Ferreira has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Cezar Ferreira has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Marvin Vettori
Red Corner
VS
Cezar Ferreira
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
32
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marvin VettoriL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 23L
vs Jared Cannonier · Jun 23L
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 25L
vs Brendan Allen · Jul 25L
vs Brunno Ferreira · Dec 25Cezar Ferreira
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jack Hermansson · Nov 16L
vs Elias Theodorou · Feb 17W
vs Nate Marquardt · Nov 17W
SUBvs Karl Roberson · May 18L
vs Ian Heinisch · Nov 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marvin VettoriMetricCezar Ferreira
4.74
Strikes / min
1.90
4.55
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
56%
Strike defense
53%
1.41
TDs / 15 min
2.69
68%
Takedown defense
84%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.19evenly matched on net striking-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marvin VettoriCezar Ferreira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marvin Vettori(10 fights)Cezar Ferreira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-52.252.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+217.0-217.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Marvin Vettori
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17
Cezar Ferreira
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15