Middleweight
5 Rounds
Roman Dolidze won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, March 15, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Roman Dolidze wins(50.2%)
Actual result: Roman Dolidze wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marvin Vettori enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Marvin Vettori has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marvin Vettori (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Marvin Vettori
Red Corner
VS
Roman Dolidze
Blue Corner
-154
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
32
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marvin VettoriL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Robert Whittaker · Sep 22W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 23L
vs Jared Cannonier · Jun 23L
vs Brendan Allen · Jul 25L
vs Brunno Ferreira · Dec 25Roman DolidzeL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 24W
vs Anthony Smith · Jun 24W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Oct 24L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Aug 25L
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marvin VettoriMetricRoman Dolidze
4.74
Strikes / min
3.19
4.55
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
56%
Strike defense
48%
1.41
TDs / 15 min
1.16
68%
Takedown defense
32%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.19evenly matched on net striking-0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marvin VettoriRoman Dolidze
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marvin Vettori(10 fights)Roman Dolidze(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+476.0-476.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Marvin Vettori
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17
Roman Dolidze
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14