Featherweight
3 Rounds
Marwan Rahiki won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 14, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMarwan Rahiki: Pressure fightervsHarry Hardwick: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Marwan Rahiki wins(77.7%)
Actual result: Marwan Rahiki wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marwan Rahiki is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Harry Hardwick has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Marwan Rahiki has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Marwan Rahiki has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Harry Hardwick (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Marwan Rahiki
Red Corner
VS
Harry Hardwick
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
24
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'8"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marwan RahikiNo prior UFC fights on record.
Harry Hardwick
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Kaue Fernandes · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marwan RahikiMetricHarry Hardwick
7.75
Strikes / min
5.47
5.90
Strikes absorbed / min
8.54
57%
Strike defense
44%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.85Δ 4.92 — meaningful gap-3.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Marwan RahikiHarry Hardwick
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marwan Rahiki(1 fights)Harry Hardwick(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.5-17.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Marwan Rahiki
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights1
Harry Hardwick
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2