Featherweight
3 Rounds
Marwan Rahiki won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1522
Elo—
Marwan RahikivsOllie Schmid
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · Saturday, May 2, 2026Perth, Australia
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Marwan Rahiki wins(61.0%)
Scouting Report
- Marwan Rahiki has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Marwan Rahiki has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Marwan Rahiki
Ollie Schmid
—
Vegas Odds
—
1522
N/A
24
25
Orthodox
Orthodox
5'8"
6'0"
182.88 cm
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Marwan Rahiki
oldest →
KOvs Harry Hardwick · Mar 26
latestOllie Schmid
Output & Defense Comparison
Marwan RahikiMetricOllie Schmid
7.75
Strikes / min
3.23
5.90
Strikes absorbed / min
7.90
57%
Strike defense
45%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Marwan RahikiOllie Schmid
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Marwan Rahiki
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights1
Ollie Schmid
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights0