Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mason Jones won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 21, 2026·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupMason Jones: WrestlervsAxel Sola: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Mason Jones wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Mason Jones wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Axel Sola has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mason Jones has 73pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Axel Sola (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Mason Jones
Red Corner
VS
Axel Sola
Blue Corner
-138
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+112
(47%)
31
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mason JonesW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Mike Davis · Jan 21W
vs David Onama · Oct 21L
vs Ludovit Klein · Jul 22W
vs Jeremy Stephens · May 25W
KOvs Bolaji Oki · Sep 25Axel Sola
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rhys McKee · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mason JonesMetricAxel Sola
5.98
Strikes / min
4.07
4.45
Strikes absorbed / min
5.29
50%
Strike defense
61%
3.48
TDs / 15 min
2.22
73%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.53Δ 2.75 — meaningful gap-1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mason JonesAxel Sola
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mason Jones(6 fights)Axel Sola(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.9-33.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Mason Jones
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6
Axel Sola
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights2