Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mateusz Gamrot won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 4, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMateusz Gamrot: WrestlervsJalin Turner: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Mateusz Gamrot wins(55.3%)
Actual result: Mateusz Gamrot wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mateusz Gamrot has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jalin Turner has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mateusz Gamrot
Red Corner
VS
Jalin Turner
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
35
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'3"
177.8 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mateusz Gamrot
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Sep 23W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Mar 24L
vs Dan Hooker · Aug 24W
vs Ludovit Klein · May 25L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Oct 25Jalin Turner
oldest →latest
L
vs Dan Hooker · Jul 23W
KOvs King Green · Dec 23L
KOvs Renato Moicano · Apr 24L
SUBvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Mar 25W
KOvs Edson Barboza · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mateusz GamrotMetricJalin Turner
3.21
Strikes / min
5.79
2.81
Strikes absorbed / min
4.54
60%
Strike defense
41%
5.22
TDs / 15 min
0.75
83%
Takedown defense
75%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.40evenly matched on net striking+1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mateusz GamrotJalin Turner
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mateusz Gamrot(10 fights)Jalin Turner(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-23.223.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-112.0112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Mateusz Gamrot
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12
Jalin Turner
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14