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Elo1525
Mateusz Gamrot editorial illustration
Elo1602
Quillan Salkilld editorial illustration

Mateusz GamrotvsQuillan SalkilldUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · Saturday, August 8, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupMateusz Gamrot: WrestlervsQuillan Salkilld: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Fight Detective pick

We select Quillan Salkilld to win. Informational only—not a guarantee or betting advice.

Market-implied probability
No market line yet
Model estimate
Quillan Salkilld
53.1% model estimate
Internal research signal — not a betting edge.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Quillan Salkilld enters on a 5-fight win streak.
  • Mateusz Gamrot has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Quillan Salkilld has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mateusz Gamrot
Red Corner
VS
Quillan Salkilld
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1525
Elo
1602
35
Age
26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'0"
177.8 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mateusz Gamrot
oldest →
W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Mar 24
L
vs Dan Hooker · Aug 24
W
vs Ludovit Klein · May 25
L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Oct 25
W
SUBvs Esteban Ribovics · Apr 26
latest
Quillan SalkilldW5 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Anshul Jubli · Feb 25
W
vs Yanal Ashmouz · Jun 25
W
KOvs Nasrat Haqparast · Oct 25
W
SUBvs Jamie Mullarkey · Jan 26
W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mateusz GamrotMetricQuillan Salkilld
3.21
Strikes / min
5.01
2.81
Strikes absorbed / min
3.03
60%
Strike defense
45%
5.22
TDs / 15 min
7.25
83%
Takedown defense
80%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.40Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap+1.98
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901523155515881620← oldermost recent →
Mateusz Gamrot(10 fights)Quillan Salkilld(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -77.8|Blue +77.8
Recent Form
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO58%

Historical win share: Quillan Salkilld earned 60% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission42%

Historical win share: Mateusz Gamrot earned 22% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

The Pick

Vegas favorite
—
Odds
—

Market-implied probability

No market line yet

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

No Vegas odds available yet.

No market line yet · model 53% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC · never rewritten

Checking bet tracker…

Mateusz Gamrot

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12

Quillan Salkilld

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4