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Lightweight

5 Rounds

Quillan Salkilld won · Submission R1

Elo1502

Elo1621

Mateusz GamrotvsQuillan SalkilldUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · Saturday, August 8, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Quillan Salkilld won

Submission · Round 1 · 4:25

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Quillan Salkilld

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Quillan Salkilld at -143 American odds · hypothetical only

+$70 profit

$170 total returned

Style matchupMateusz Gamrot: WrestlervsQuillan Salkilld: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Quillan Salkilld enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Mateusz Gamrot has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Quillan Salkilld has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mateusz Gamrot

Red Corner

Quillan Salkilld

Blue Corner

+120

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-143

(59%)

1502

Elo

1621

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'0"

177.8 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mateusz Gamrot

oldest →

vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Mar 24

vs Dan Hooker · Aug 24

vs Ludovit Klein · May 25

SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Oct 25

SUBvs Esteban Ribovics · Apr 26

latest

Quillan SalkilldW5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Anshul Jubli · Feb 25

vs Yanal Ashmouz · Jun 25

KOvs Nasrat Haqparast · Oct 25

SUBvs Jamie Mullarkey · Jan 26

KOvs Beneil Dariush · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mateusz GamrotMetricQuillan Salkilld

3.21

Strikes / min

5.01

2.81

Strikes absorbed / min

3.03

60%

Strike defense

45%

5.22

TDs / 15 min

7.25

83%

Takedown defense

80%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.40Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap+1.98

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mateusz Gamrot(10 fights)Quillan Salkilld(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -119.3|Blue +119.3

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mateusz GamrotTargetQuillan Salkilld

By target zone

30% acc · 100%

Head

42% acc · 80%

Body

25% acc · 10%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

30% acc · 100%

Distance

33% acc · 60%

Clinch

75% acc · 30%

Ground

50% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mateusz Gamrot rounds

even

Quillan Salkilld rounds

Round 1Quillan Salkilld edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:20

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

3 / 10

Sig Strikes

10 / 24

30%

Sig Str %

41%

3 / 10

Total Strikes

20 / 35

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:20

Ctrl Time

2:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Quillan Salkilld	10 / 24	20 / 35	1 / 1	1
1	Mateusz Gamrot	3 / 10	3 / 10	0 / 1	2

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Quillan Salkilld

Odds

-143

Market-implied probability

Quillan Salkilld 56%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Mateusz Gamrot$220

Quillan Salkilld (model pick · research)$170

56% market-implied · model 53% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC · never rewritten

Mateusz Gamrot

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14

Quillan Salkilld

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights6