Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mateusz Gamrot won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 9, 2024·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Mateusz Gamrot wins(56.2%)
Actual result: Mateusz Gamrot wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mateusz Gamrot has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Mateusz Gamrot
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Dos Anjos
Blue Corner
-485
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+370
(21%)
35
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mateusz Gamrot
oldest →latest
W
vs Jalin Turner · Mar 23W
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Sep 23L
vs Dan Hooker · Aug 24W
vs Ludovit Klein · May 25L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Oct 25Rafael Dos AnjosL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Renato Moicano · Mar 22L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mateusz GamrotMetricRafael Dos Anjos
3.21
Strikes / min
3.48
2.81
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
60%
Strike defense
60%
5.22
TDs / 15 min
1.95
83%
Takedown defense
54%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.40evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mateusz GamrotRafael Dos Anjos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mateusz Gamrot(10 fights)Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-20.520.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Mateusz Gamrot
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12
Rafael Dos Anjos
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights32