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Lightweight

3 Rounds

7 days away

Elo1473

Elo1458

Mateusz RebeckivsKyle PrepolecUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia

Fight begins in

Style matchupMateusz Rebecki: WrestlervsKyle Prepolec: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mateusz Rebecki enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Kyle Prepolec enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Kyle Prepolec has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mateusz Rebecki

Red Corner

Kyle Prepolec

Blue Corner

-320

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+270

(27%)

1473

Elo

1458

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'10"

167.64 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mateusz RebeckiL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 24

vs Myktybek Orolbai · Oct 24

vs Chris Duncan · Aug 25

vs Ludovit Klein · Oct 25

SUBvs Grant Dawson · May 26

latest

Kyle PrepolecL4 streak

oldest →

vs Nordine Taleb · May 19

vs Austin Hubbard · Sep 19

SUBvs Benoit Saint Denis · May 25

KOvs Drew Dober · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mateusz RebeckiMetricKyle Prepolec

4.79

Strikes / min

3.25

4.36

Strikes absorbed / min

5.69

54%

Strike defense

48%

3.05

TDs / 15 min

0.00

53%

Takedown defense

45%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.43Δ 2.87 — meaningful gap-2.44

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mateusz Rebecki(8 fights)Kyle Prepolec(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +14.3|Blue -14.3

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -14.3|Blue +14.3

Layoff

Red -203.0|Blue +203.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: Submission.

KO / TKO50%

Historical win share: Mateusz Rebecki earned 25% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission50%

Historical win share: Mateusz Rebecki earned 25% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Mateusz Rebecki

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights9

Kyle Prepolec

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4