Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mateusz Rebecki won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 14, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMateusz Rebecki: WrestlervsNick Fiore: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Mateusz Rebecki wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Mateusz Rebecki wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mateusz Rebecki has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Nick Fiore has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mateusz Rebecki (53.5%).
- Nick Fiore has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Mateusz Rebecki
Red Corner
VS
Nick Fiore
Blue Corner
-850
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+600
(14%)
33
Age
28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'10"
167.64 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mateusz RebeckiL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Roosevelt Roberts · Nov 23L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 24W
vs Myktybek Orolbai · Oct 24L
vs Chris Duncan · Aug 25L
vs Ludovit Klein · Oct 25Nick Fiore
oldest →latest
L
vs Chase Hooper · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mateusz RebeckiMetricNick Fiore
4.79
Strikes / min
2.83
4.36
Strikes absorbed / min
7.93
54%
Strike defense
42%
3.05
TDs / 15 min
2.50
53%
Takedown defense
71%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.43Δ 5.53 — meaningful gap-5.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Mateusz RebeckiNick Fiore
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mateusz Rebecki(7 fights)Nick Fiore(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Mateusz Rebecki
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights7
Nick Fiore
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2