Flyweight
5 Rounds
Alex Perez won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 27, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMatheus Nicolau: Well-roundedvsAlex Perez: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Matheus Nicolau wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Alex Perez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Perez is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Matheus Nicolau has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Matheus Nicolau has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Matheus Nicolau
Red Corner
VS
Alex Perez
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
33
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matheus NicolauL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Elliott · Oct 21W
vs David Dvorak · Mar 22W
KOvs Matt Schnell · Dec 22L
KOvs Brandon Royval · Apr 23L
vs Asu Almabayev · Oct 24Alex Perez
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Jul 22L
vs Muhammad Mokaev · Mar 24L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Jun 24L
SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Nov 25W
KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matheus NicolauMetricAlex Perez
3.31
Strikes / min
4.41
2.98
Strikes absorbed / min
3.20
65%
Strike defense
59%
1.22
TDs / 15 min
2.21
90%
Takedown defense
75%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.33evenly matched on net striking+1.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matheus NicolauAlex Perez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matheus Nicolau(10 fights)Alex Perez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.7-36.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+322.0-322.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Matheus Nicolau
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights11
Alex Perez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights14