Welterweight
3 Rounds
Matt Brown won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 14, 2019·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Brown: Submission grapplervsBen Saunders: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Matt Brown wins(73.7%)
Actual result: Matt Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ben Saunders enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Matt Brown is a KO finisher (77% of wins). Ben Saunders has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Ben Saunders threatens submissions; Matt Brown has lost 42% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Matt Brown
Red Corner
VS
Ben Saunders
Blue Corner
-355
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+295
(25%)
45
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Brown
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · May 20L
vs Carlos Condit · Jan 21W
KOvs Dhiego Lima · Jun 21L
vs Bryan Barberena · Mar 22W
KOvs Court McGee · May 23Ben SaundersL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alan Jouban · Feb 18W
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Jun 18L
SUBvs Sergio Moraes · Sep 18L
KOvs Lyman Good · Nov 18L
KOvs Takashi Sato · Apr 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt BrownMetricBen Saunders
3.76
Strikes / min
3.23
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.58
55%
Strike defense
51%
1.68
TDs / 15 min
0.20
63%
Takedown defense
66%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.84Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt BrownBen Saunders
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Brown(10 fights)Ben Saunders(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+79.4-79.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+532.0-532.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Matt Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights25
Ben Saunders
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14