Welterweight
3 Rounds
Matt Brown won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 13, 2023·Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Brown: Submission grapplervsCourt McGee: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Matt Brown wins(63.7%)
Actual result: Matt Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Matt Brown
Red Corner
VS
Court McGee
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
45
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Brown
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Dec 19L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · May 20L
vs Carlos Condit · Jan 21W
KOvs Dhiego Lima · Jun 21L
vs Bryan Barberena · Mar 22Court McGee
oldest →latest
W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · Jan 22L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22L
vs Alex Morono · Apr 24W
SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt BrownMetricCourt McGee
3.76
Strikes / min
4.50
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.65
55%
Strike defense
60%
1.68
TDs / 15 min
1.78
63%
Takedown defense
70%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.84evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt BrownCourt McGee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Brown(10 fights)Court McGee(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.3-18.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Matt Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights25
Court McGee
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights24