Welterweight
3 Rounds
Matt Brown won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 19, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupMatt Brown: Submission grapplervsDhiego Lima: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Matt Brown wins(72.7%)
Actual result: Matt Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Matt Brown
Red Corner
VS
Dhiego Lima
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-186
(65%)
45
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt Brown
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Dec 19L
KOvs Miguel Baeza · May 20L
vs Carlos Condit · Jan 21L
vs Bryan Barberena · Mar 22W
KOvs Court McGee · May 23Dhiego Lima
oldest →latest
L
vs Yushin Okami · Apr 18W
KOvs Chad Laprise · Dec 18W
vs Court McGee · Apr 19W
vs Luke Jumeau · Oct 19L
vs Belal Muhammad · Feb 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt BrownMetricDhiego Lima
3.76
Strikes / min
3.12
2.92
Strikes absorbed / min
3.88
55%
Strike defense
58%
1.68
TDs / 15 min
1.26
63%
Takedown defense
73%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.84Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Matt BrownDhiego Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Brown(10 fights)Dhiego Lima(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.5-23.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Matt Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights25
Dhiego Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11